Michael Gorman on 25 Jan 2004 20:50:57 -0000 |
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Re: [eia] Zurich wrapup |
At 02:47 PM 1/25/2004 -0600, you wrote:
Thus spake Michael Gorman: > At 01:40 PM 1/25/2004 -0600, you wrote: > >Thus spake "Kyle H": > > > The French side is retreated to Strassbourg. There are no pursuit> > > casualties during the retreat, and Soult hears a bullet go whizzing by hi> s > > > ear. > > > >This makes me wonder whether we're running behind the expected rate of > >leader casualties. There's a 1/36 chance that a leader will be killed > >each time he fights. Surely we've had 36 instances of leaders going into > >battle by this point? >> We've had one injury so far. Castanos was hit at St. Petersburg and needed> 5 months to recover. Hold on. You just reminded me that fatalities happen only on a further roll of 6. So the probability of leader death is 1/216, not 1/36 as I'd stated. (1/36 is the probability of leader casualties as a whole.) That makes more sense to me, as the range of Napoleonic-era cannon and muskets combined with the modern practice of leading from the rear made the injury of commanding generals unlikely. Were *any* of the generals represented in the game actually killed in battle?
Nelson was, but I'm not sure if any others were off the top of my head. Mike _______________________________________________ eia mailing list eia@xxxxxxxxx http://lists.ellipsis.cx/mailman/listinfo/eia