Rob Speer on 17 Jun 2002 05:27:04 -0000


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[spoon-discuss] Re: [Spoon-business] Prop: Luck of the irish!


On Sun, Jun 16, 2002 at 08:16:40PM -0400, bd wrote:
> Amend the third paragraph of rule 752 to read as follows:
> {{
> If a Player occupies the same square as the Casino, and the Casino is Open, e 
> can place a bet of any even number of points that is greater than or equal to 
> 10 and less than or equal to 50 and less than or equal to the number of 
> Points they possess. Those points are transferred to the Gremlin fund. 2d6 is 
> rolled for the Player and the Casino. If the Player's roll plus eir Luck is 
> greater than the roll of the casino, 2 * (number of points bet) is 
> transferred from the Gremlin fund and to the Player. If the Player's roll 
> plus eir Luck is equal to the roll of the casino, the bet is returned to the 
> Player.
> }}

Um, the only thing worse than a Casino with a 66.6% house advantage is
one whose odds are in the Player's favor. As soon as the Casino opened,
someone could buy several Leprechauns and squeeze them. The odds of
winning go up significantly with each Leprechaun:

Luck   Odds
----  -----
   0  50.0%
   1  52.8%
   2  58.0%
   3  65.3%
   4  73.9%
   5  83.0%
   6  91.3%
   7  96.2%
   8  98.6%
   9  99.7%
  10   100%

So as soon as the Casino opened, the Gremlin Fund would be milked for
all it's worth. The cost of Leprechauns is cheap compared to the payoff.
The only redeeming thing about this situation is that it is limited by
the Gremlin Fund, so it's not an outright win-the-game point scam like
Recycling.

-- 
Rob Speer

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