Joel Uckelman on Sun, 22 May 2005 20:56:31 -0500 (CDT)


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Re: [eia] Prussian rolls at Erfurt


Thus spake Michael Gorman:
> At 08:48 PM 5/22/2005, you wrote:
> >Thus spake Michael Gorman:
> > > The garrison is destroyed on round 1.  As 1 factor can't cause casualties
> > > there's no need for Austrian Rolls
> >
> >I show 1I, 1M at Erfurt.
> >
> In January, Nate put the garrison at 1m.
> 
> http://lists.ellipsis.cx/archives/eia/eia-200504/msg00110.html

I would have surrendered had I had the correct garrison there, since
that drops the probability of holding out from 0.6 to nearly zero.

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